Real-time probability aggregation from Polymarket & Kalshi, weighted by volume and open interest.
Market categories sized by trading volume. Color indicates consensus probability.
Hourly probability changes across top markets. Green = increase, Red = decrease.
Built for precision. Engineered for truth.
Standardizes on-chain (Polymarket) and off-chain (Kalshi) order books into a single coherent stream of market signals.
Dynamic cross-platform weighting based on volume & OI. De-noises wash trading to surface the true crowd median.
Automated alpha discovery when probability gaps exceed threshold. Export SDK snippets for rapid agent deployment.
LLM-powered event alignment ensures aggregation of identical real-world outcomes across different market titles.
The world is a high-entropy system. We seek the convergence of truth.
History proves that the collective median outperforms the individual genius. PolyOx is the infrastructure for this phenomenon. We don't trust authority; we trust the distribution.
Every "maybe" is a leak in the system. By forcing the world into YES (1) and NO (0), we crystallize vague observations into precise, tradable probabilities. We are the compiler that turns human sentiment into machine-readable truth.
The "Wisdom of Crowds" only functions when participants have Skin in the Game. PolyOx uses market incentives to filter out the noise, ensuring that the final probability is the most expensiveβand therefore most accurateβversion of reality.
Francis Galton found the truth in a slaughterhouse in 1906. We find it in the blocks of the blockchain and the weights of neural networks. Whether it's a political outcome or an AI breakthrough, we are constantly solving for the weight of the Modern Ox.
Join the protocol. Trade on convergent truth.